500,000 silver and not a single event squad :(

Forgot to take a screenshot.

Opened 100 boxes (and 25 more), and not a single event squad. I sweaaarrrrr.

Since the chance of a squad is 1%, I was hoping that if I open 100 boxes I’ll get at least one squad. Is my computation wrong?

I just want the SAS and the Paramarines :frowning:

How bout you guys, what did you get?

6 Likes

The only good thing I got so far are 2 appearance orders.
I just want the MKb.42 “15” or Mkb.35/ll:(

4 Likes

Those Bastards GIFs | Tenor

2 Likes

Yes

let p = 1%
(1 - p) ^ 100 ~ 0.36

That mean 36% of the time you won’t get a single squad for 100 pull

The result of n pull and p chance form Binomial Distribution
image

4 Likes

I opened 20 a day, then 30 a day now on 50, but when I watched the counter thing, I seemed to get more vehicles weapons etc. Now I’m up to 50 per day and press skip, I get soo many boosters (useless as endgame), other useless stuff and got one new vehicle camo in 50 boxes.

Makes me wonder, back in the day I used to open in batches of 10, watch the counter and experience the frustration of near misses of stuff I wanted. But I feel I got better stuff watching. It was only one of my buddies who said don’t bother watching just press skip, since skipping I get far less stuff.

Skipping is a time thing sometimes, but when I get back I am going back to my old way, 10 and watch the counter, until I have bought 50 (as I will have time to watch and see results later tonight)

3 Likes

yea i thought i would have better luck now that i miss a lot of stuff but nah. use like 500k+ so yea not worth. Just wait for like event box, those are much better for some reason at dropping GOOD stuff.

Got a ppk squad from the april fool box and bunch of hammer and decal from the shop box

4 Likes

Click on russia and only buy 5 at a time. One million i got 3 new squads and special tanks maybe 4.

1 Like

Like it’s a secret winning combination, Russia 6 boxes, doesn’t that raise the question why not allies 10 boxes :stuck_out_tongue_winking_eye:

2 Likes

Play the chances. If you buy many the chances say you get 1. So if you buy 10 you win 1 thing. Buy 5 win 1 thing. Buy 5 2× you win 2 things.

1 Like

Some logic in that I reckon

1 Like

i spend like close to 1.5m and got 8 squadsXD

Yeh but how did you buy boxes and did you press skip all?

1 Like

spend first 900k at once and just skipped lol and then got a few squads every now and then from just opening them every time i could there is no magic to it just luck

Your own fault for believing in gambling mechanics. You can try to “compute” what you want. You get lucky or you do not. You do not believe in it and you do not count on it.

If only i knew the cheat code to those mechanics id have a better football bettin account balance lol xxx

Always skip all. The picture animation doesnt actually reflect how close you where

I’m not so sure I got a lot more watching stuff, now I skip, I get one thing which is not a booster, rename or upgrade… I tried 50, skipped 10 5x, as limited time. But will watch again. I think it’s more enjoyable all the same at least for me.

1 Like

I started the current loot box event with approximately 500 000 silver. My approach was to open no fewer than five and no more than ten crates per day, always using single rolls. Sometimes I skipped the animations, but most of the time I watched them. Over the course of these rolls, I actually accumulated additional silver by frequently landing rewards of 1 000, 2 500, and 5 000 silver, and once even a 30 000 silver payout:

In addition, I earned more silver through gameplay battle pass, selling research, strong rewards from matches with XP boosters, and the “join any army” bonus. Along the way, several weapons, several soldiers, two portraits, and three vehicles dropped, and on the 26th I received my first squad:

Yesterday, I was down to around 70 000 silver. I played one final match as the Japanese faction to complete a battle pass task requiring kills with special weapons → I have decided to use semi-atuo AT rifles and mortars. The match went badly for our team → we were completely wiped on Guadalcanal Confrontation. I initially considered doing one or two rolls after this round, but ultimately decided to roll until I ran out of silver. I was on the Japanese battle screen (I am not sure that this matters). When I reached 12 000 something silver, the final two rolls awarded me two squads:

Overall, I do not believe this outcome can be explained by simple probability alone. A stated 1% drop chance does not seem to “guarantee” a squad, even if you roll 500 000 silver. It is more luck or a pattern/code that is not known to us.

2 Likes

I did 40, batches of 10, watched and got 3 vehicles, 2 GO, 2 Gold troops. Will watch ongoing… whether it was coincidence or not.

Cool! You got the Paramarines!